Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton Wanderers: Prediction & Preview

Form guide

Wolverhampton Wanderers host Bolton Wanderers at Molineux Stadium in Round 10 of the English Football League Championship. The home side sit 5th in the 24-team table with 14 points from 8 matches, having won 4, drawn 2 and lost 2. Their goal difference is positive as well, with 15 scored and 11 conceded. At home, Wolverhampton have been solid so far: 2 wins and 1 draw from 3 matches without defeat.

Their recent form is mixed but competitive, with the last five results reading LWLWD. In that sequence, Wolverhampton beat West Bromwich Albion 1-0 and Sheffield United 1-0, drew 2-2 with Birmingham City, and lost narrowly away to Middlesbrough 1-0 and Everton 1-0 in the English Football League Cup.

Bolton arrive in 17th place with 10 points from 9 games, from 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 17. Their away record is modest but not empty, with 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4 away fixtures.

The visitors’ recent five-match sequence is LWWLL. Bolton produced a notable away win at Norwich City, 4-3, and also beat Cardiff City 1-0 at home, but they have also lost to Stoke City 2-1, West Ham United 3-2 and Millwall 4-0.

Head-to-head

The recent head-to-head record leans clearly towards Wolverhampton Wanderers. In the last five meetings listed, Wolves have won two, drawn two and lost one. The two most recent results in this sample were strong home and away wins for Wolverhampton: 4-0 at Bolton in April 2018 and 5-1 at Molineux in November 2017.

Key factors

• Wolverhampton are higher in the table and have taken 14 points from 8 games, compared with Bolton’s 10 points from 9.
• The home side are unbeaten at Molineux in the league this season, with 2 wins and 1 draw.
• Bolton have conceded 17 goals in 9 league matches, which is a concern against a team with 15 goals scored already.
• The recent head-to-head data favours Wolverhampton, especially in the most recent meetings.
• The model expects a home edge, with projected goals of 2.24 for Wolverhampton and 1.14 for Bolton.

Our prediction

Tip: Wolverhampton Wanderers to win. Probability: 66%.

This is a prediction, not a certainty. The main risk is Bolton’s ability to create results away from home, shown by their 4-3 win at Norwich City and the fact that they have already won once on the road this season.