Lincoln City vs West Ham United: Prediction & Preview

Form guide

Lincoln City host West Ham United at Sincil Bank in Round 10 of the English Football League Championship. The home side are 16th in the 24-team table with 11 points from nine matches, while West Ham sit 3rd with 16 points from the same number of games.

Lincoln’s overall record is 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats, with 7 goals scored and 11 conceded. Their home form is a concern: four matches played, no wins, two draws and two losses. Their last five results are LLWWL, and they arrive here after a 3-0 away defeat to Sheffield United.

West Ham have been more productive in attack, scoring 23 goals and conceding 12. Their away record is unbeaten, with one win and three draws from four matches on the road. Their last five results are DDLWW, and their most recent league game ended 1-1 at home to Queens Park Rangers. They have also drawn 2-2 at Millwall and won 3-2 at Bolton Wanderers in recent Championship fixtures.

Head-to-head

The only head-to-head data provided is a meeting on 27 September 2023, when West Ham United beat Lincoln City 1-0 in the English Football League Cup. That result points to a competitive edge for West Ham, although the sample is very limited.

Key factors

• Lincoln have not won at home in the league this season, drawing twice and losing twice at Sincil Bank.
• West Ham are unbeaten away in the Championship, which adds weight to their status in this match.
• West Ham’s attacking output is stronger overall, with 23 goals from nine league matches compared with Lincoln’s 7.
• Lincoln have failed to keep a clean sheet in four home league matches, while West Ham’s recent away games have produced goals at both ends.
• The model expects a tighter game than the table positions suggest, with projected goals of 1.22 for Lincoln City and 1.78 for West Ham United.

Our prediction

This is a prediction, not a certainty. Our model’s tip is Both teams to score at 59%. The main risk is Lincoln’s low home scoring record, which could leave them short of their part in the bet if West Ham control the game without conceding.