LASK Linz vs Liverpool: Prediction & Preview

Form guide

LASK Linz go into this UEFA Champions League game with a mixed recent record. Their last five results read LWDLL, and in the league phase they have played once, lost once, scored none and conceded one. Their most recent matches include a 0-2 home defeat to SK Rapid Wien and a 1-0 loss away to AEK Athens in the Champions League, while they also drew 3-3 at TSV Hartberg and beat First Vienna FC 1894 in a friendly.

Liverpool arrive with stronger overall numbers in the competition, sitting 13th in the 36-team table after one win from one. They have scored twice and conceded once in the league phase, and their last five results are LWWDW. Their recent schedule includes a 0-3 home defeat to Manchester City, but also a 1-0 away win at Bournemouth AFC and a 2-1 Champions League win over Atletico Madrid.

Head-to-head

The two teams have met twice in the available data, both in the 2023 UEFA Europa League. Liverpool won both games: 3-1 at LASK Linz and 4-0 at home. That history points to a clear advantage for the English side, although past meetings do not decide the outcome of this match.

Key factors

• LASK Linz are still looking for their first points in the league phase, while Liverpool already have three.
• Liverpool’s table position is stronger, and their attack has already produced two goals in one Champions League match.
• LASK have been hard to shut out in overall recent play, but their Champions League start was a 1-0 away loss to AEK Athens.
• Our model projects expected goals of 1.93 for LASK Linz and 1.44 for Liverpool, which suggests chances for both teams.
• The probability of both teams scoring is 65%, and the over 2.5 goals probability is also 65%.
• The match will be played at Raiffeisen Arena in Linz, with Tobias Stieler as referee.

Our prediction

Tip: Liverpool to win — 67% probability. This is a prediction, not a certainty, and the main risk is Liverpool’s recent 0-3 home defeat to Manchester City, which shows they are not immune to setbacks.