Finland Women U16 vs Sweden Women U16: Prediction & Preview

Form guide

Finland Women U16 arrive in stronger form, with a recent sequence of WWDWW. Their latest results include wins over Sweden Women U16, Denmark Women U16, Iceland Women U16 and Hungary, plus a draw away to Norway U16 Women. That run suggests a side that has been difficult to beat and capable of controlling friendly matches.

Sweden Women U16 come into this game with LLLWW. Their two most recent results are wins, but they are preceded by three straight defeats, including the 3-1 loss to Finland Women U16 on 8 August. That mixed spell leaves them with more questions than their opponents heading into this fixture.

Head-to-head

The recent head-to-head record is competitive, but Finland have had the better of the latest meeting. In the last five clashes, Finland Women U16 have won three, Sweden Women U16 have won one, and one ended in a draw.

• 2026-08-08: Finland Women U16 3-1 Sweden Women U16
• 2025-10-18: Finland Women U16 2-2 Sweden Women U16
• 2025-10-15: Finland Women U16 2-1 Sweden Women U16
• 2024-10-19: Finland Women U16 1-3 Sweden Women U16
• 2024-10-16: Finland Women U16 4-3 Sweden Women U16

Several of these meetings have produced goals for both sides, and the last five include three Finland wins by narrow or moderate margins.

Key factors

• Finland Women U16 are in better current form, with four wins and one draw in their last five.
• Sweden Women U16 have lost three of their last five, which weakens their case despite the two recent wins.
• The most recent meeting ended 3-1 to Finland, so the home side already have a useful reference point from this matchup.
• Our model projects a slight edge for Finland, with expected goals at 1.94 for Finland and 1.01 for Sweden.
• The model also points to a game with goals, with a 55% chance of both teams scoring and a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Our prediction

This is a prediction, not a certainty, but our model’s tip is Finland Women U16 to win with a probability of 59%.

The main risk is that Sweden Women U16 have shown they can respond with wins, and the head-to-head history includes tight games and one draw in the last five meetings.